Annual Report · April 2026

State of Medicare 2026: What Changed, What's Coming, What It Costs

An independent review of plan year 2026 — the new $2,000 Part D out-of-pocket cap, the IRMAA bracket adjustments that pushed the threshold above $106K (single), Medicare Advantage's continued growth past 50% of beneficiaries, the first 10 drugs negotiated under the Inflation Reduction Act now in effect, and what we're watching for plan year 2027.

Plan year 2026 is the second year of major structural changes to Medicare under the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, and the first year that the IRA's prescription negotiation provisions actually take effect on consumer pricing. For most beneficiaries the headline news is a new annual cap on Part D out-of-pocket spending; for higher-income beneficiaries the IRMAA bracket adjustments matter; for everyone, the continuing growth of Medicare Advantage shapes the choices available in any given county.

This is our annual review of what changed, what beneficiaries should know, and what we're watching for plan year 2027.

$2,000New 2026 Part D out-of-pocket cap (vs. unlimited prior years)
$185.002026 standard Part B premium (up from $174.70 in 2025)
$2572026 Part B annual deductible (up from $240)
$106K2026 IRMAA threshold for single filers (Part B surcharge begins)

1. The $2,000 Part D Cap Is Now Real

The most consequential change for ordinary Medicare beneficiaries in 2026 is the implementation of a hard $2,000 annual out-of-pocket maximum on covered Part D prescriptions. Before 2024, Part D had no out-of-pocket maximum — high-cost drug users could face $10,000+ in annual cost-sharing. The Inflation Reduction Act phased in protections; 2026 is the first year the full $2,000 cap applies.

What this means in practice:

Editorial takeawayThe cap is a genuine improvement for high-cost-drug users — particularly cancer patients, MS patients, and those on hepatitis C therapy. For low-cost-drug users, the higher Part D premium often outweighs the cap benefit; shopping during AEP matters more than ever.

2. IRMAA Brackets Adjusted, Threshold Pushed Up

For 2026, the IRMAA brackets were adjusted for inflation — the threshold where Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount surcharges begin moved from $103,000 in 2025 to $106,000 in 2026 for single filers (up from $206,000 to $212,000 for couples filing jointly). 2026 IRMAA is calculated from your 2024 tax return (two-year lookback).

2024 MAGI (Single)2024 MAGI (Joint)2026 Part B Premium2026 Part D Surcharge
≤ $106,000≤ $212,000$185.00$0
$106K–$133K$212K–$266K$259.00+$13.70
$133K–$167K$266K–$334K$370.00+$35.30
$167K–$200K$334K–$400K$480.90+$57.00
$200K–$500K$400K–$750K$591.90+$78.60
≥ $500K≥ $750K$628.90+$85.80

The IRMAA appeal that most people don't know about

If your income dropped after the 2024 tax year due to a "life-changing event" — work stoppage, retirement, divorce, death of spouse, loss of pension, loss of income-producing property — you can file Form SSA-44 to request a reduction. Social Security typically processes appeals within 30-60 days. If granted, your Part B and Part D premiums recalculate to reflect lower current-year income.

The single most overlooked IRMAA appeal scenario is retirement itself. Many people retire in their early 60s, claim Social Security at 67, but go on Medicare at 65. The 2024 tax return that drives 2026 IRMAA may reflect their pre-retirement income; SSA-44 corrects this if filed. About 8% of Medicare beneficiaries pay IRMAA; many more should be filing SSA-44 than do.

3. Medicare Advantage Crossed 50% — and Continues Growing

For the first time, Medicare Advantage enrollment exceeded 50% of total Medicare beneficiaries in 2024 and continued growing through 2025. As of early 2026, roughly 53% of eligible beneficiaries are enrolled in MA plans. The implications cut both ways.

For beneficiaries:

For Medigap shoppers:

Editorial takeawayThe MA-vs-Medigap decision is more individual than ever. Healthy enrollees who don't travel and have stable provider relationships often do well in MA. Higher-utilization patients, frequent travelers, and those wanting predictable cost-sharing without prior auth still favor Medigap. The decision compounds over time — switching is harder in most states than the initial choice.

4. The First 10 Negotiated Drugs Are in Effect

Under the Inflation Reduction Act, CMS negotiated prices on the first 10 high-cost Part D drugs with negotiated prices effective January 1, 2026. The negotiated prices represent reductions of 38–79% off list prices.

The 10 drugs in the first negotiation cohort:

  1. Eliquis (apixaban) — atrial fibrillation/blood clots
  2. Jardiance (empagliflozin) — Type 2 diabetes/heart failure
  3. Xarelto (rivaroxaban) — atrial fibrillation/blood clots
  4. Januvia (sitagliptin) — Type 2 diabetes
  5. Farxiga (dapagliflozin) — Type 2 diabetes/heart failure
  6. Entresto (sacubitril/valsartan) — heart failure
  7. Enbrel (etanercept) — autoimmune (RA, psoriasis)
  8. Imbruvica (ibrutinib) — leukemia/lymphoma
  9. Stelara (ustekinumab) — autoimmune/Crohn's
  10. Insulin Aspart (Fiasp/NovoLog) — diabetes

The next 15 drugs were selected in 2024 and will have negotiated prices effective January 1, 2027. The list expands further each subsequent year.

5. Open Enrollment Patterns: What Worked in 2025

Looking back at the 2024 AEP (October 15 – December 7, 2024, for plan year 2025), several patterns held that we expect to continue in 2026:

6. What We're Watching for Plan Year 2027

Enhanced ACA subsidies and the cliff question

Although technically an ACA topic, the expiration (or extension) of enhanced ACA premium tax credits at end of 2025 affects pre-Medicare enrollees who are bridging from employer coverage to age 65. If subsidies revert to the original 100-400% FPL band with the income cliff, more pre-65 enrollees will time COBRA exhaustion or self-employment income explicitly to maintain marketplace eligibility.

The next 15 negotiated drugs

The Round 2 list announced in 2024 includes Ozempic (semaglutide for Type 2 diabetes; Wegovy for weight loss is a separate product). When negotiated Ozempic pricing takes effect January 1, 2027, expect significant Part D plan reformulation and possibly broader coverage expansions for related GLP-1 products.

Medicare Advantage prior authorization — enforcement

CMS's tightened PA rules took effect in 2024 and 2025; enforcement and audit results from those years should be public in 2026. This will shape whether PA friction reduces meaningfully or remains the most consistent MA complaint.

Hospital-At-Home and other site-of-care expansions

The COVID-era Hospital-At-Home waiver was extended through 2024 and again through 2025; permanent codification is pending. Expect this to affect MA plan benefit design and Medicare cost data over the next two years.

The Bottom Line for 2026 Beneficiaries

For the typical Medicare beneficiary who hasn't reviewed coverage since enrollment, 2026 is the year to revisit:

  1. Re-shop your Part D plan during AEP (October 15 – December 7, 2026). Premium repricing in response to the $2,000 cap was uneven; the plan that was best for you in 2024 may not be in 2026.
  2. If you're high-income and your income recently dropped, file Form SSA-44. The IRMAA appeal is underused.
  3. If you're on Plan F and healthy, consider Birthday Rule or Anniversary Rule switching where available. The aging Plan F pool is producing larger rate increases than Plan G.
  4. If you're on Medicare Advantage, verify your specific providers and prescriptions before AEP closes. Network and formulary changes in 2026 plans were larger than usual.
  5. Layer supplemental coverage (cancer, critical illness, hospital indemnity) thoughtfully. Original Medicare + Medigap covers most medical bills but doesn't address the non-medical costs of serious diagnoses. See our sister site MyInsuranceRates for the supplemental side.
"The single most overlooked IRMAA appeal scenario is retirement itself. Many people retire in their early 60s, claim Social Security at 67, but go on Medicare at 65. The 2024 tax return that drives 2026 IRMAA may reflect their pre-retirement income; SSA-44 corrects this if filed."

How We Compiled This Report

This annual report draws on CMS published data (Medicare Trustees Reports, Part D enrollment statistics, MA enrollment figures), Social Security Administration IRMAA tables, KFF analyses of Medicare Advantage trends, and the Inflation Reduction Act statutory schedule. Cost figures are 2026 plan-year amounts as published by CMS unless otherwise noted. State-specific Medigap rules are summarized from state Department of Insurance bulletins and the Medicare Rights Center's state guides.

This report is editorially independent. Our agents are paid by carriers when consumers enroll; carriers do not pay for placement, mention, or favorable framing in our editorial content. AI tools assisted with research and drafting; the final report was reviewed by licensed Medicare professionals. Errors and corrections: please email insureco@gmail.com.

Related reading: 2026 Medicare Costs Reference · Medicare Advantage vs. Medigap · IRMAA explained · Editorial Team & Methodology